Despite ongoing commentary to the
contrary, speakers at the Australian Almond Conference recently debunked the
idea that Australia almond producers have overestimated local and global demand
for their nuts.Leading international US fresh produce analyst, Vernon Crowder,
told The Weekly Times that Australia was enjoying stable prices based on record
US production as the Californian drought began to break.“I don’t think
Australian growers have overestimated the growth of the industry,” Mr Crowder
said. “Based upon even my conservative projection of almond growth, and the
Almond Board of Australia numbers, by 2020 California will produce about 83 per
cent of the world’s almonds (up from 80 per cent) and Australia will produce
8.5 per cent (up from 7 per cent).“I don’t think this growth is going to shake
up the market.”
Australian growers received
record prices in recent years as the Californian drought cut US production.During
this time, Australia overtook Spain as the world’s second biggest almond
producer, as new plantings from big Riverina companies, such as Select Harvests
and Olam, came into bearing.Mr Crowder said the global industry needed to
sustain growth to service the global demand for almonds.“The real growth is
coming from growth in ingredients in US and Europe, as well as nuts in shell in
India and China.“Culturally, they prefer nuts in the shell, and that’s driving
a lot of demand.“The Australian market has grown consistently over the past 10
years, and Australian per capita consumption is one of the highest in the
world, surpassing the US.“A lot of that is to do with consumers’ realisation of
the health benefits of almonds, as well as the use of almonds in manufactured
products.”
Read more at
weeklytimesnow.com.au.
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